Beef,soybeans,corn, and Pork Police Officer Pig

PLYMOUTH - When the door opens, the younger hogs in Brian Brandt'south i,200-head confinement barn start prancing around their pens as if they're ready to take on the horses at the next Kentucky Derby.

Their highly refined bloodlines, advisedly blended rations, and climate-controlled quarters give them a lot of energy.

It's a marked contrast to the energy-sapping circumstances confronting their owner. Together, those are enough to brand pork people desire to scroll up in a corner.

A few miles south of Plymouth and 60 miles southwest of Lincoln, you'd never become that sense from looking at corn and soybeans blest by recent rain and warmer temperatures. But the early indications of harvest prosperity don't extend to the livestock sector.

Almost without exception, those who depend on beef, pork and milk for big portions of their incomes are suffering.

Amid the rumbling thunder and flickering lightning of a mid-afternoon storm, Brandt sits at his dining room table and ponders poisonous economics from the pork side.

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In a calm voice, he talks nearly the problem that started to accept shape for him and other veterans of the sus scrofa business concern in 2007.

Trouble began with jutting pork supplies. It compounded with rising grain prices, national recession and and so world-broad recession. The concluding indignity was the swine flu scare in April that had nothing to practice with eating swine meat.

Brandt'southward losses ranged equally high as $45 per market hog terminal year. He was about dorsum to break even before swine flu. Now his losses are back to $25-30 per market sus scrofa. And he sees no end in sight.

"I've been through some big crashes," he said, pointing toward other periods of adversity in the 1990s, "and I've never seen anything like this."

Typical grain and livestock producers in Nebraska don't talk about the dollar bear on on them personally. Count Brandt, who has both a Nebraska functioning and a partnership stake in Kansas, as an exception to that rule.

He estimated his loss in Nebraska over the last 18 months at $1.two meg.

"Our Kansas farm lost $2.2 million last year. We would have lost $1.5 meg more than if we had not totally liquidated."

Empty hog barns are being refilled now, only it'due south non considering the partners have constitute a solution to red ink.

"Nosotros had absolutely no sales for nine months and that was all the same $i.5 million cheaper than running (the operation)."

Fifty-fifty earlier a country that regularly ranks in the top ten in pork production hit its latest rough patch, the state's pork manufacture was in consolidation mode.

In 1992, according to the federal agricultural census, there were 10,826 sus scrofa farms in the country. That dropped to 2,213 by 2007.

Although he emphasizes that his expertise is in pig nutrition, not hog economics, Duane Reese of the University of Nebraska is very familiar with those numbers and with the higher feeding costs that are shrinking them farther.

"If corn goes upwards a dime a bushel," Reese said, "then you've automatically added $1.19 to the cost of producing a hog."

Information technology's the same story for soybean meal. "If the price of soybean meal goes up $10 a ton, you lot've added 72 cents to the price of producing that hog."

Reese moves on from in that location to the usual hopes that are pinned on May, June and July as the time for a seasonal price rally. Typically, the pork supply is down and demand for grillable pork is up.

"Everybody was really looking frontwards to that this year," he said. "The finish of Apr came near and H1-N1."

That'south the more scientific proper noun for what many others call swine influenza.

"That really curtailed the export need for pork," Reese added, "particularly to Mexico."

For what information technology all means economically, he points to Iowa State University's John D. Lawrence and his electronically viewable nautical chart of the fiscal returns for finishing hogs.

Lawrence'due south most contempo numbers show an average loss in Iowa of $18.50 per market hog for May.

Back at Plymouth, pork producer Brandt said he's not going to ride downward trends all the manner to his own financial ruin. He has always depended mostly on cash to encompass his costs.

"I have to make a conclusion that, when I stop, I tin pay my last bill. But I compete with companies that don't necessarily play by those rules."

In the lush days of June, he has a bulletin for people who don't understand the fallout from livestock losses.

"Nix in this land - nothing in this state - comes shut to what livestock puts into the economy."

Reach Art Hovey at 473-7223 or at ahovey@journalstar.com

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Source: https://journalstar.com/news/local/pork-producers-look-for-path-to-prosperity/article_04e4923f-7032-51ba-92c9-ab075d4d8992.html

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